Opinion | Logistic Peril for NATO Weapons to Ukraine

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Within months of the landings at Normandy in June 1944, allied forces raced across France and Belgium so quickly that they outran their supply lines. Rather than fight a broad-front campaign to defeat the Germans, Gen. Dwight D. Eisenhower was forced to shift to a narrow-front attack, prolonging the war well into 1945. Soon, logistic shortfalls also will confront Ukraine and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and may force a change in strategy.

On Aug. 19, the U.S. pledged another $775 million for Ukraine. The aid provides more Javelins, Himars rockets, and artillery ammunition. It also includes TOW missiles, 105mm howitzers and smaller-caliber artillery ammunition. The last systems are older and less advanced than the items provided to date and may indicate that battlefield consumption rates have outpaced production to a point where excess inventories provided to Ukraine are nearly exhausted. If so, NATO will have to deal with dwindling stocks of leading-edge weapon systems. This likely will mean muddling through a longer war, with more casualties. It means more pressure from supporting nations, sustained inflation, less heating gas and falling popular support.

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