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Editor’s note: In this Future View, students discuss the future of artificial intelligence. Next we’ll ask, “This July, photos from the James Webb Space Telescope revealed amazing images of new galaxies and planets. What is the future of space exploration? Is it aiming toward deep space? Colonizing planets and moons within our own galaxy? Asteroid mining? Will governments or private businesses take the lead?” Students should click here to submit opinions of fewer than 250 words before Aug. 2. The best responses will be published that night. Click here to submit a video to our Future View Snapchat show.
Humans are an incredibly adaptable species. With the advent of livestock and domestic pets, for example, we invented new symbiotic relations that went on to define our civilization. Artificial intelligence as it exists today is already radically changing our economy, with computers usurping traditionally human professions and humans mobilizing to maintain them. If computers eventually become sentient, we will probably be quick to become more dependent on smart technology as a tool—and also to share a transactional relation with AI, akin to what we have with horses and dogs.
Hollywood would have you believe that AI is an existential threat to civilization. The real threat isn’t anything so dramatic. If humankind decides to accept artificial intelligence to further prosperity, it needs to reconcile that with also having to surrender countless responsibilities and social norms that define our current way of life.
—Nathan Biller, Colgate University, history and political science
It’s Time to Regulate AI
Sentience is a quality of beings with consciousness and feeling. Both are immaterial, which renders them impossible to measure. Scientists have not even reached a consensus on an adequate definition for consciousness—which makes ridiculous the notion that artificial intelligence, or any technological innovation for that matter, could attain such a state.
AI has contributed to the development of chatbots, facial-recognition programs and targeted advertising. The benefits to society are clear to see. But what if AI also had the potential to displace tens of millions of blue-collar workers? This is a stark reality to many families that cannot afford to be overlooked. Some careers that face severe risks of automation in the coming years include cashiers, receptionists and even pilots.
Because artificial intelligence poses a massive threat to both economic and social stability, the time has come for legislators to draw the line. AI has the potential to be as helpful, or as destructive, as we allow it to be.
—Peter Iossa, Pennsylvania State University, physics
We Must Be Prepared
The technology for artificial intelligence is shaping the human condition by acting as both a tool and a mirror. While AI has the potential for immense public good, including solutions to climate change and other social issues, an insufficient level of infrastructure and knowledge exists to support its rapid development. AI may magnify existing systemic injustices and biases on both an individual and collective scale. For example, a 2019 study published in Science found that an AI healthcare algorithm used to predict which patients needed extra care showed evidence of racial bias.
Abstract arguments about whether AI are sentient ignore the real impact artificial intelligence has on society. The Turing Test rests on whether an AI seems human, suggesting that the true impact of AI is the way it shapes how we perceive one another.
Take LaMDA, Google’s “Large Language Models” AI platform. The ability to replicate what seems like authentic human speech speaks to an innate aspect of the human experience, inciting empathy automatically. When a machine elicits empathy, it raises the question of whether that’s truly a sign of humanity, perhaps lowering our responsiveness to empathy toward real humans. Similar AI creations blur the boundaries of humanity, distorting our perceptions of ourselves.
That’s the most dangerous part. As machine learning and the development of artificial general intelligence continues to progress, we must not only be worried. We must be prepared for the very nature of humanity to come into question.
—Jenny Duan, Stanford University, symbolic systems
We Should Worry About Economic Collapse
Artificial intelligence and machine learning are phenomenal computational tools that, through pattern recognition, enable predictive capabilities. Crude versions are already available on cellphones and email applications.
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LaMDA, Google’s AI platform, is more sophisticated. LaMDA is formulated to acquire, analyze and predict conversation—a near definition of intelligence. But it is only near, not a true or profound definition of intelligence. Like other advanced computing tools, including model-informed drug-development algorithms to accelerate vaccination efforts and digital models to predict failure of jet engines, they are data-driven models rooted in statistics, predicting the most likely scenario to emerge from various starting conditions.
These black-box algorithms require trained users (who are predicted to form the highest growth job by 2025). The danger is not what AI and machine learning bring but what they leave behind. There are already shortages of teachers, technicians and truckers—people in essential vocations unable to transition to remote work. Our cultural fixation on the newest and flashiest occupations may exacerbate the supply-demand mismatch.
If AI brings us to societal collapse it won’t be a Skynet firefight, but because of a failure to educate future generations, repair our infrastructure and maintain our commerce system that will still be important even with AI.
—Matt Phillips, North Carolina State University, aerospace engineering (Ph.D.)
Humans Are Not Machines
Artificial intelligence can improve efficiency in the workplace by performing repetitive or tedious tasks. It allows humans to engage in creative and inventive pursuits, furthering their goals and ideas. AI, however, is unable to grapple with the meaningful truths that mark the human condition.
Thinking and being are inextricable. This is why the sixth-century thinker Boethius in “The Consolation of Philosophy” writes that Philosophy, personified as a nurse, diagnoses him with forgetting his own identity. While Boethius is concerned with worldly opinion and corporeal forms, his fascination with the external prevents him from contemplating his intrinsic existence. In the text, the condition of human nature is offered, stating that “as soon as it ceases to know itself, it must be reduced to a lower rank”—as in, no longer being a human entity at all.
AI falls short of the human condition because it cannot consider the weighty truths and inner contemplation every person has the capability to explore. According to Aristotle, the contemplation of practical knowledge may lead to action, but it is only through the contemplation of theoretical knowledge that truths may be explored. While AI can answer pragmatic problems, it lacks the intellectual principle that points to higher forms of goodness and being that can be achieved only by humans.
As we grapple with the uncertainty and fear that the advent of AI has inspired, we should take comfort in philosophy as Boethius advises. It is a consolation and safeguard against the uncontrollable and ephemeral nature of the outside world.
—Elizabeth Prater, University of Notre Dame, marketing and great books
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